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Business
Source: The Verge

CFTC Considers First Regulation for Prediction Markets Amid Insider Trading Concerns

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is reportedly considering its initial regulation for prediction markets. This development comes as arrests related to "insider trading" on these markets, involving diverse topics from military operations to Google Search data, continue to rise. A notice of proposed rulemaking seeks to establish a framework for evaluating contracts that may involve unlawful activities or conflict with public interest.

By Fainaron·Jun 10, 2026 (6 days ago)·2 views
CFTC Considers First Regulation for Prediction Markets Amid Insider Trading Concerns

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is reportedly moving to establish its first regulatory framework for prediction markets. This initiative follows an increase in arrests concerning alleged "insider trading" activities within these markets. Cases have reportedly involved sensitive information, including military operations and proprietary data like Google Search information.

According to a report by CoinDesk, the CFTC has issued a notice of proposed rulemaking. The proposal aims to create a structured framework designed to assess whether contracts within prediction markets involve activities enumerated in Section 5c(c)(5)(C) of the Commodity Exchange Act.

These enumerated activities include terrorism, assassination, war, gaming, or any conduct considered unlawful under federal or state law. The proposed framework would also evaluate whether such contracts are contrary to the public interest.

Separately, Kalshi, a platform involved in prediction markets, made an announcement on Wednesday. (Source: The Verge)

Source attribution: This article was AI-curated and rewritten by Fainaron from a piece originally published by The Verge. Read the original at The Verge →

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